posted on November 07, 2006 11:18
My Democratic campaign friends are cautiously ecstatic. My Republican campaign friends are nearly suicidal. So here – based on hearsay, guesswork and a dose of wishful thinking – are my Election Day predictions.
- Democrats sweep nationally. It’s the war, stupid. (Listen up, Mr. President.)
- Democrats take Congress. We pick up 30 U.S. House seats and a Senate majority.
- Webb wins Virginia. George Allen completes the greatest job of political self-destruction since Nixon in 1062.
- But Ford loses in Tennessee. Race still rules in the South, thanks to the racist but deadly RNC “Playboy” ad.
- Democrats keep N.C. legislature. A no-brainer. Look at our financial edge in the N&O’s outstanding graphic today.
- Jim Black survives. As a member of the House, not Speaker.
- Dems take Wake. We win majority on the county commissioners. Here come impact fees!
- Heath Shuler wins. Can Democrats make room in the tent for pro-life and pro-gun candidates? Yes, if we want to win in 2008. (Robin Hayes and Brad Miller also win.)
- School bonds lose. My heart makes my hope the Democratic tide will help. But my head says the combination of anti-tax and anti-mandatory year round is too much to overcome.
- Voter confidence loses. With no exit polls until 5 pm, cable spends all day hyping alleged irregularities, fraud and voter intimidation. What happens when Americans no longer trust the vote count?
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