posted on June 24, 2008 11:45
A Republican consultant figures there is a direct relationship between the price of gas and Barack Obama’s vote in North Carolina.
He told me he spent four days running numbers on turnout and election models.
His conclusion: If gas stays under $4 a gallon, Obama’s maximum vote in the state is 46.5 percent.
But if gas goes over $4, Obama could get 50 percent.
I’m impressed by his precision. But even if he has the exact numbers wrong, I think he has the big picture clearly in focus.
Even at the low estimate, that means Obama is adding four more points to the Democrats than in previous presidential years.
Another sign of the Apocalypse for Republicans – and Glory Days for Democrats?
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