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03

Only one result from the Iowa Democratic caucuses will surprise me tonight: a big win for Hillary.

 

Three outcomes seem possible:

 

  • Edwards wins big.  But Mr. Conventional Wisdom decrees that he has to win again somewhere else to prove he’s not a one-hit wonder.

 

  • Obama wins big.  And Mr. Conventional Wisdom says that Hillary is in deep doo-doo.

 

  • Nobody gets a clear win.  So we move from the snows of Iowa to the snows of New Hampshire.

 

If Hillary wins big, count me shocked.

 

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